
New Orleans not all comfortable with their field goal kicking, especially from long distance, of course. Expect them to go for it in situations where Green Bay will kick FGs with Mason Crosby.
Green Bay more likely to get a long touchdown versus the Saints' weaker secondary. Grant or Jackson more capable of a long touchdown play than McCallister. Packers more likely to get a special teams touchdown -- Reggie Bush still out for the Saints.
7 or 8 punts tops this game.
True line for "1st turnover an INT" should be closer to -200.
Saints run defense stronger than pass defense, and the Packers use RB Brandon Jackson more for passing to. Packers may get away from the run some in the 2nd half if behind. I like Ryan Grant to go Under.
Packers will spread the ball around on offense, still don't have all of their WRs healthy. Jordy Nelson Over 2.
Saints will want to run as long as it's mostly successful, as the Packers' run defense is weak, especially compared to their pass defense. The Saints have 3 TE who catch the ball well, so I like J. Shockey Under. The Packers only allow 176 passing yards per game, so I like Drew Brees to go Under the receptions and pass yards. 5Dimes has much better lines on the Drew Brees props as of 15 minutes ago.
And as for regular bets, we had the Under 53.5 for 2 Units, and I added the Saints ML -106 a little while ago for 1 Unit.
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